Odds are increasing for tropical rain to move into the area next week

ORLANDO, Fla. – The weekend forecast looks fine! Saturday will feature plenty of sunshine with highs reaching 95° inland and upper upper 80s along coastal spots. Dry air aloft will keep rain chances non-existent today with a chance for an isolated sprinkle. Heat index values are expected to reach 100-107° across the area.

Sunday will start off pleasant and dry. Hotter as we go through the afternoon with highs climbing into the middle to upper 90s. The rain chances increases over southern counties to 30-40%. Quick downpours are possible with a few thunderstorms. As we go into next week, changes build in the forecast due to the potential of a tropical system forming.

Turning to the tropics. Invest 93L continues to signs of organization. The NHC has highlighted the development area with a 60% in the next 48 hours then a 90% in the next 7 days. Long-range models do show further development as it moves northward in the next several days over the eastern portion of the Gulf of Mexico. Atmospheric conditions look conducive for further tropical development.

Tropical Models are not in agreement as to where the center of this potential tropical system will go due to the fact that a defined center is not there. As we go through weekend, a tropical depression is looking more probable but whether is strengthens into a tropical storm or not or stronger will be determined as we get closer to Sunday or Monday. As of now, the Big Bend area/Florida West Coast could see the greatest impacts later this week.

Nonetheless, tropical moisture is expected to ramp up rain chances beginning on Tuesday lasting through Wednesday/Thursday with accompanying strong gusty winds. Check back frequently for updates.

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